* – indicates new to team
ERA – Earned Run Average
HR – Home Runs
RBI – Runs Batted In
SV – Saves
1. New York Yankees
Their 27th World Series title has put them back on the map.
2. Tampa Bay Rays
A great lineup, but pitching will be the key for them.
3. Boston Red Sox
Great pitching, but where will the hitting come from?
4. Baltimore Orioles
One more year of growing pains and they will be in contention.
5. Toronto Blue Jays
Let the rebuilding begin.
Player to Watch: P John Lackey Boston Red Sox
He has the contract now (5 yrs. 85 million). Now he has to continue to perform to the level he has been since his first year in ’02 when he helped the Angels win their first World Series title. He doesn’t have to be the number one starter since Boston already has Josh Beckett and Jon Lester, but he mustn’t fall apart like Daisuke Matsuzaka. Lackey is a gamer. If he had his way he would be pitching in every game. He is now being thrown into the biggest barn burner there is in baseball. Yankees vs. Red Sox. His success is known well in the northeast. Lackey’s combined record against both teams as an Angel are as follows; 8-14 W-L record, ERA over 4.50 and the Yankees and Red Sox hit over .300 against him. Now it could be the ballparks of Fenway and Yankee Stadium. Or it could be the lineups that they put out since ’02. Either way Lackey hasn’t had success in this region. Boston overlooked that in signing him to a big contract. If they sign Beckett to an extension this season, Boston will have committed over 250 million dollars to Lackey, Beckett and Matsuzaka. And you thought the Yankees spent a lot of money. Lackey is a big game pitcher and he is one of two rookies to win a Game 7 of a World Series. Boston went after the best pitcher on the free agent market and Lackey now has to live up to the incredible hype that comes with playing in Beantown.
Manager on the Hot Seat: Cito Gaston Toronto Blue Jays
They are now in a full on rebuilding mode north of the border. Toronto announced it with the firing of GM J.P. Ricciardi who tried to implement the Billy Beane style of running a team (J.P. was the assistant GM to Beane in Oakland). It didn’t work, plus J.P. failed to trade Roy Halladay in a timely manner before last years trade deadline. New GM Alex Anthopolous was hired and immediately did what J.P. could not, trade Halladay and received a decent list of talent that will play either this year or next. Gaston is stuck in a strange position that no manager wants to ever be in. He is the lame duck right now. Unless by some miracle the Blue Jays win the World Series or even make the postseason this year, he will not be managing this team next year. Gaston was a great manager for his time. Key word “his.” Baseball has changed quite a bit since his days managing the Blue Jays in the early 90s. Veterans on the club when Gaston took over didn’t take too kindly to Gaston’s style. They claimed there was a communication gap between manager and player. That accusation went untouched by Ricciardi, but Anthopolous probably won’t. This is his operation now and he will be looking to make a change. Unfortunately someone will have to go before the Blue Jays can get back to respectability. Gaston will be the first.
Trade Bait: LF Carl Crawford Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay is in an interesting predicament. Crawford is in the final year of his contract. He will most likely get at least an 80 million dollar contract from another team in need of a guy who can hit, hit for power, field and steal bases. A legitimate five tool player in the majors. If Tampa makes a run at the World Series again will they decide to re-sign him? If Tampa is out of the race before the trade deadline will they deal him? Either way they are stuck. That is how the Rays have gone about doing things for a while. Small budget and build through the draft. They don’t want to commit a lot of money to a few players, but Crawford is such a big part of their recent success. Every other major league team would gladly make room for Crawford. The Rays I think will make room for him, but they will be smart about it. Not go over what is a fair price for both sides. It will ultimately be up to Crawford whether he wants to stay or go, but Tampa Bay will be stuck if they win or lose this year.
SS Derek Jeter
.334 AVG 18 HR 66 RBI
DH Nick Johnson*
.291 AVG 8 HR 62 RBI
1B Mark Teixeira
.292 AVG 39 HR 122 RBI
3B Alex Rodriguez
.286 AVG 30 HR 100 RBI
C Jorge Posada
.285 AVG 22 HR 81 RBI
2B Robinson Cano
.320 AVG 25 HR 85 RBI
CF Curtis Granderson*
.249 AVG 30 HR 71 RBI
RF Nick Swisher
.249 AVG 29 HR 82 RBI
LF Brett Gardner
.270 AVG 3 HR 23 RBI
The Bronx Bombers came back with a vengeance last season and it resulted in the franchises’ 27th title. Looking to repeat in 2010 the Yankees will be featuring more youth in their lineup. Gone are Matsui and Damon. They’ve replaced them with Johnson and Granderson. Some are worried about the inexperience factor, but GM Brian Cashman believes it will be a non-factor. Mainly because of the captain Derek Jeter. He is in a contract year which begs the question, will Jeter have a career year? If you think he hasn’t yet, you’ve been missing out. Jeter returned to form last year with his batting average and was a fantastic table setter for the big bats behind him. Not the best basestealer anymore, but will still get 20-25 at this point. Johnson was once a top prospect in the Yankees system, but was dealt to Montreal before the ’04 season for Javier Vasquez. Johnson has struggled to stay healthy for an entire season, but is a capable hitter (career .273) and getting on base (career .402). He will relegated to DH most of the time so that should help keep him healthy and productive in the lineup. Teixeira was a breathe of fresh air when A-Rod was injured for the first month and a half last year. He received some MVP consideration, but almost every Yankee did. What he did to help the defense though was overlooked. The Yankees haven’t had sure hands at first since the Tino Martinez days of the late 90s. Rodriguez had about as bad a start as you could have to a season. It was revealed he had tested positive for steroids during his days with the Texas Rangers. He was placed on the DL after having hip surgery keeping him out until mid May. As with every season in New York expectations were high, but A-Rod actually lived up to them. The Yankees were struggling a bit to score runs, but when he returned they took off. His postseason was exactly what everyone had wanted out of him (.365 AVG 6 HR 18 RBI). The Yankees will need a repeat from A-Rod during the regular season and postseason. Posada has been a constant offensive option for the Yankees, but now he is higher in the batting order. How will he respond and will he continue to be a liability on defense? Manager Joe Girardi will be scrambling if Posada goes down for any extended period due to injury. Cano is primed for a big year. At least that is what the Yankees have been saying ever since his debut. He has performed well, but he does run into hit less streaks and can be erratic on defense. Cano must be ready to take that big step to stardom. Granderson is the toast of tinsel town, until he goes 2 for 16 against the Red Sox. Playing in Yankee Stadium Granderson is guaranteed to hit 30+ HRs. The problem will be how much ground can he cover playing center? He started to miss a step playing at Comerica Park. The Yankees have enough depth to put Granderson at the bottom part of the order. He won’t have as much pressure to succeed there. Swisher has the best arm and that is why he is the right fielder by default. He could also play first base too, but he is here because he can hit. He didn’t show at all during the postseason, but Yankees fans can forgive as long as you show up to play and give it your all. Something that Swisher is good at and he provides a laid back attitude for the sometimes uptight clubhouse. Gardner is a scrappy hitter with excellent speed. Being the everyday player though is something new for him and the Yankees could look for a replacement when the trade deadline comes around.
Bench
OF Randy Winn*
.262 AVG 2 HR 51 RBI
OF Marcus Thames*
.252 AVG 13 HR 36 RBI
INF Ramiro Pena
.287 AVG 1 HR 10 RBI
Winn provides speed off the bench for Girardi. He can also play all three outfield positions and play for Gardner in left. It was unlike the Yankees to go with an inexpensive option as their fourth outfielder, but they are the defending champs and will be given the benefit of the doubt. Thames has tremendous power potential for Yankee Stadium, but he can never stay consistent. He can be a righthanded DH to Johnson and can fill in at the corner outfield spots. He’s had experience in Detroit playing first base also, but is around to hit not defend. Pena has the potential to be a good hitter for the Yankees. He won’t get much playing time behind Jeter and Cano. Pena is not quite the defensive stalwart to Jeter, but can hold his own. The Yankees are not likely to let Jeter leave and that means Pena will be a backup unless he is dealt elsewhere.
Rotation
C.C. Sabathia
19-8 3.37 ERA
A.J. Burnett
13-9 4.04 ERA
Andy Pettitte
14-8 4.16 ERA
Javier Vazquez*
15-10 2.87 ERA
Phil Hughes
8-3 3.03 ERA
Setup
Joba Chamberlain
9-6 4.75 ERA
Closer
Mariano Rivera
44 SV 1.76 ERA
Almost 300 million dollars was spent on Sabathia, Burnett and Pettitte last year. It paid off for the Yankees as they rod all three through the postseason as Girardi gambled with a three man rotation. They spent wisely and went after young pitchers in their prime in Sabathia and Burnett and not on pitchers going past their prime as in years past. Sabathia was the workhorse they expected pitching 230 innings. New York will be wanting that again from their ace who welcomed the pressure of getting the Yankees another championship and his first. Burnett is the clown of the clubhouse. He was the one shoving cream in players faces when they won the game with a walk-off hit. He was also healthy for an entire year which has been hard to come by for Burnett. His ERA was high, but that comes with playing in the American League. The Yankees are breathing easy knowing Burnett is showing signs of the potential he’s always had. Pettitte is coming back for probably his last season. He was the MVP for their postseason run winning four games. If Pettitte faltered, the Yankees would not have won the World Series and might not have even clinched the AL Pennant. New York will watch his innings carefully as not to wear him down for another postseason run. Vazquez will get another chance to redeem his last stint in pinstripes. His only year in New York was in ’04 when he posted a 14-10 record with an ERA of 4.91. Too high for a strikeout pitcher, but that was the trouble. He couldn’t get strikeouts. Only 150 went down to the strikeout against Vazquez, his lowest total since ’99 (113). This time the Yankees are not counting on Vazquez to be the ace like in ’04, but a complement to their big three. He succeeded in that role in Atlanta with 238 strikeouts. The biggest competition in Spring Training is for the fifth spot in the rotation. Hughes is battling Joba Chamberlain who was the fourth starter last year. Hughes has the inside track, but both have showed success setting up Mariano Rivera. Chamberlain was up and down far too much last year which is why Girardi went with a three man rotation, but Hughes could solidify that spot plus with Vazquez the Yankees have the best rotation in the division.
Rivera just doesn’t seem to slow down. Will he retire after this year or will he give it another go in the Big Apple? The Yankees like with Jeter will make sure if he does want to play, that he finishes his career in pinstripes. He saved 40+ saves for the seventh time in his career and is second only to Trevor Hoffman for the career saves lead. Since being the full time closer, his ERA has risen above 3.00 only once (’07 3.15). It’s remarkable to think he has been able to have this success with only one pitch. The movement on that cut fastball is truly one of a kind. Girardi has caught him as a Yankee and now manages him for the Yankees. That is how amazing Rivera’s longevity is. It doesn’t really matter who will setup Rivera as long as they can keep the lead for the ninth inning celebration.
SS Jason Bartlett
.320 AVG 14 HR 66 RBI
LF Carl Crawford
.305 AVG 15 HR 68 RBI
3B Evan Longoria
.281 AVG 33 HR 113 RBI
1B Carlos Pena
.227 AVG 39 HR 100 RBI
RF Ben Zobrist
.297 AVG 27 HR 91 RBI
CF B.J. Upton
.241 AVG 11 HR 55 RBI
DH Pat Burrell
.221 AVG 14 HR 64 RBI
C Dioner Navarro
.218 AVG 8 HR 32 RBI
2B Sergio Rodriguez
.299 AVG 29 HR 93 RBI (AAA stats)
Essentially this is the same lineup from the last two seasons. Tampa Bay shocked the baseball world winning the division title in ’08 beating out Boston and New York. Then went on to appear in their first World Series that year. Last year they were the favorites in a lot of circles to win the AL East or the Wild Card in ’09, but those expectations were never fulfilled. Manager Joe Maddon who hasn’t been given enough credit still for the work he’s done since taking the job in ’06 has a lot of talent to work with in this lineup. Bartlett has been the most consistent hitter since his arrival in ’08 from Minnesota. He has done exactly what they expected of him on the defensive side at shortstop. His offensive production has been a pleasant surprise. Last year was a career year for him and the Rays are looking for a repeat from Bartlett. Crawford is one of two five tool players they have. The other being Upton. Crawford has tremendous hitting and basestealing ability. Questions about his contract will be constant if Tampa Bay is out of contention early, but Crawford is a true professional and won’t let it become a distraction while playing in Tampa Bay. Longoria broke onto the scene in May of ’08 and was a big reason why they made it to the World Series. Last year he continued that success, but now is the time that he will be discussed for the MVP award. His average will have to go up for that to happen, but he is a one of a kind hitter and the Rays are fortunate to have him. Pena was an amazing find. He was with the Red Sox during the ’06 season. Tampa Bay signed him for the ’07 season and he produced with career highs in AVG (.282) HR (46) and RBI (121). You think Boston might want to take that back? Pena has continued to produce great power numbers, but his average has dipped since ’07 (.247 in ’08 & .227 in ’09). It’s a troublesome sign, but the Rays can’t bench their cleanup hitter for an extended period. He must be more selective to keep a Rays rally from ending. Zobrist was the toast of baseball in ’09. He never really had a set position, but wherever he played his bat was a constant force. He will be starting out in right field mostly, but can play second when Gabe Kapler gets a start in right. Zobrist will look to prove the ’09 season was no fluke and continue to raise his stock in Tampa Bay. Upton is still a tremendous talent. He is running out of time though in showing it. His younger brother in Arizona is already jumped out in front of his and B.J. needs to do the same this year. Putting him at the top of the order seems to put too much pressure on him to hit for power, but being lower in the order will hopefully get him to play to his strengths which is hitting to the gaps. He doesn’t always have to hit the home run. He just needs to get on base. Like Crawford, Upton can steal 50+ bases and he must get on to help Burrell and Navarro improve on their subpar ’09 seasons. Burrell was hurt and couldn’t adjust to the American League for much of last season. If it continues he will be platooned with Matt Joyce in the DH role. Joyce is a power lefthander who doesn’t possess great patience yet, but he does have youth which Burrell does not. Navarro let his struggles at the plate affect his play behind the plate as well. It hurt the pitching staff which is why the Rays signed Kelly Shoppach to prevent that from happening again. Navarro’s job is in jeopardy which the Rays hope will motivate him to get him on the right track like he was in ’08. Rodriguez was the main piece acquired from the Angels for Scott Kazmir last August. He’s another super utility player like Zobrist who has potential to be a great hitter, but hasn’t done much with his opportunities at the major league level. Maddon has a lot to work with, but they must keep it together or changes will be made.
Bench
INF Willy Aybar
.253 AVG 12 HR 41 RBI
C Kelly Shoppach*
.214 AVG 12 HR 40 RBI
OF Gabe Kapler
.239 AVG 8 HR 32 RBI
Aybar was a clutch hitter in his debut with the Rays in ’08. 2009 was not the same, but he can still hit. Not considered an everyday player, he is better served in spurts. Pinch hitting situations or to give someone a day off. Only can play the corner infield spots now, but could play second in an emergency. Shoppach could be the full time starter if Navarro struggles again. The better defender, Shoppach does have some pop, but can’t be counted on to produce day in and day out. Kapler is back as the fourth outfielder. Great instincts on defense getting good reads on fly balls. Not the best power option, but can make contact and is a viable pinch runner for Joe Maddon’s bench.
Rotation
James Shields
11-12 4.14 ERA
Matt Garza
8-12 3.95 ERA
Jeff Niemann
13-6 3.94 ERA
David Price
10-7 4.42 ERA
Wade Davis
2-2 3.72 ERA
Setup
Dan Wheeler
4-5 3.28 ERA
Closer
Rafael Soriano*
27 SV 2.97 ERA
This was the strength of the franchise during their run in ’08. It became apparent though last year that the bullpen couldn’t go with another year of a closer committee. That problem was hopefully solve with the acquisition of Soriano, but the question remains, can the Rays keep the Red Sox and Yankees bats quiet this year? Shields and Garza the unquestioned top two starters since ’08 have to be able to keep the ball in the park for 2010. The combined to give up 54 HRs in ’09, up 11 from the previous year. Shields more so because of the pitches he throws. He is a groundball pitcher mostly. He can pile up strikeouts (167), but he has to keep the ball down and trust his defense to get him out of jams more than his stuff. Garza is the flamethrower who isn’t afraid of any team’s lineup. That can get him into trouble, but Maddon lets him do his thing until it gets out of hand. Garza has built a great resume being the ’08 ALCS MVP getting the Rays into the World Series, but he hast to go back to winning 11 games and not losing 12. Niemann had a great rookie year. He is now bumped up to the third slot this year with Kazmir no longer around. Not a power pitcher, but he gets his defense involved and keeps the ball in the yard which helps his psyche. With Niemann having success the Rays are hoping highly touted lefty David Price can do the same. Price burst onto the scene late in ’08 and immediately showed baseball why he was the number one pick in ’07. Last year he was brought along slowly, but wasn’t spectacular. The Rays hope the third year is the charm. They can’t have any hiccups. Davis is a big righthander who will be looking to have the kind of success Niemann did his rookie year. Davis is a strikeout pitcher will good stuff. As long as he keeps to his strengths and keeps hitters off balance he will be fine.
Soriano is the closer by default. The Rays do have options should he falter, but they hope that’s not the case. Last year was his first season saving 30+ games. That and Soriano is a power pitcher (102 K) who doesn’t try to be a finesse pitcher to get the final three outs. Wheeler is a perfect setup up guy. Works quickly and doesn’t mess around on the mound. He will be the primary setup man against righthanded lineups while lefthander J.P. Howell will handle the job against lefthanded lineups. Howell became the primary closer last year, but is better served setting up an established one. Joe Maddon would love the bullpen to return to form from ’08, but he doesn’t want the rotation to take two steps back from last year at the same time.
LF Jacoby Ellsbury
.301 AVG 8 HR 60 RBI
2B Dustin Pedroia
.296 AVG 15 HR 72 RBI
1B Kevin Youkillis
.305 AVG 27 HR 94 RBI
C Victor Martinez
.303 AVG 23 HR 108 RBI
DH David Ortiz
.238 AVG 28 HR 99 RBI
RF J.D. Drew
.279 AVG 24 HR 68 RBI
3B Adrian Beltre*
.265 AVG 8 HR 44 RBI
CF Mike Cameron*
.250 AVG 24 HR 70 RBI
SS Marco Scutaro*
.282 AVG 12 HR 60 RBI
Boston set out to improve the lineup for this season. It’s amazing to think that the Red Sox would need to improve on a lineup that has Pedroia, Martinez, Ortiz and Drew, but they do. When you look at it now, you have to ask, did they really help themselves? Their cleanup hitter left to play for the Mets (Jason Bay). To replace him they signed 3 players who are either coming off a career year (Scutaro), mostly know for defense (Cameron) or have had only one productive year (Beltre). It will start at the top with Ellsbury though. Leading all of baseball with 70 steals last year he will be the table setter for the Red Sox. Boston was wise to not deal him for one or two year rentals when their fan base was pressuring them to do so. Ellsbury will be a fixture at the top of the order for a long time. Pedroia being the ’08 AL MVP had a down compared to his MVP one, but he is a perfect example of what a contact hitter is. A scrappy hitter who rarely strikes out and can be counted on to lay down a bunt as well as hit one off the monster in left. Youkilis is an on base machine. Not the greatest stance in the world, but it gets the job done for Boston. Manager Terry Francona would love to have a few more Youkilis’ on his team. He is a great defender at either first or third. He would’ve played third had Beltre not been signed. Martinez is a perfect fit for Boston and it came at the right time. He is a great hitter and is coming along with his defense, but he will be expected to produce like he did in the 56 games for Boston last year (.336 AVG 8 HR 41 RBI). Ortiz had a down year by his standards for the Red Sox. Then came the revelation that he had tested positive for PEDs in the same test A-Rod had taken and failed in ’03. Like A-Rod, Ortiz has gotten out of that relatively unscathed and finished the year strong. Another slow start this season will have the media and the fans even more upset than last year because there isn’t a viable replacement for what Ortiz is capable of doing. Drew has had some decent years in Boston, but he’s getting older and his legs are starting give way. Eventually he will have to be the DH full time or play left with the monster behind him. Beltre is here more for his defense than the chance he could reproduce what he did for the Dodgers in a contract year back in ’04 where he was second in the NL MVP voting next to Barry Bonds of the Giants. If he comes anywhere close to the .334 AVG 48 HR 121 RBI season of ’04, the Red Sox will be in perfect shape. Cameron just like Beltre was signed more for his defense. He does have a power bat, but he strikes out way too much. It is a strange fit to have him in Boston with so many patient hitters around him, but maybe it will rub off. Scutaro had a great year playing in obscurity in Toronto. A backup most of his career he showed he could play as an everyday player and produce. The Red Sox haven’t had a shortstop that could both hit and play defense since the Nomar Garciaparra days. Scutaro isn’t that good, but he is better than Alex Gonzalez who signed with Toronto. Francona has a few new options to play with, but they will miss Jason Bay.
Bench
INF/OF Bill Hall*
.201 AVG 8 HR 36 RBI
INF Mike Lowell
.290 AVG 17 HR 75 RBI
C Jason Varitek
.209 AVG 14 HR 51 RBI
Hall was acquired for first baseman Casey Kotchman from Seattle. He was an everyday player in Milwaukee before being dealt to Seattle last year. No longer considered an everyday player because of his strikeout to walk ratio (120 K to 27 BB). His average dipped considerably too, but Boston likes his versatility. He can play anywhere and isn’t a bad option to pinch hit in certain situations. Lowell’s hip is still bothering him. He was going to be the starting first baseman if Beltre wasn’t signed, but this helps Boston keep him healthy and ready for the postseason should they clinch a spot. Varitek is still the captain, but no longer the everyday catcher. He does a great job handling a pitching staff, but doesn’t have the arm to throw out runners and his bat speed dropped of quite a bit. Francona is lucky to have Lowell and Varitek to turn to when things could get rough with the newcomers.
Rotation
Josh Beckett
17-6 3.86 ERA
Jon Lester
15-8 3.41 ERA
John Lackey*
11-8 3.83 ERA
Daisuke Matsuzaka
4-6 5.76 ERA
Clay Buchholz
7-4 4.21 ERA
Setup
Hideki Okajima
6-0 3.39 ERA
Closer
Jonathan Papelbon
38 SV 1.85 ERA
They didn’t have to upgrade the pitching staff, but couldn’t pass up the opportunity to sign another ace for the starting staff. Lackey is just what the Red Sox needed. A guy who isn’t afraid to take the ball against the Yankees or Rays. Also a guy who will stop a losing streak should it come up during one of his starts. He will have a lot of pressure to succeed right away in Boston, but he thrives under pressure. It’s his m-o. Beckett is still the number one, but if he doesn’t get an extension before the season is over, Lackey or Lester will be ready to take it for Boston. Beckett had a down year for his standards, but he is highly motivated and will be primed for a big year in order to get that big payday to end his career. Lester led the team in strikeouts (225) and was their best starter by a long shot. Very meticulous on the mound he takes his time and thus throws off the hitters timing. If Lester gets more run support he could win over 17 games for the Red Sox. Matsuzaka has been a disappointment so far considering the money they’ve paid to acquire him. Boston also is upset with him keeping secret his injury due to playing in the World Baseball Classic. He is a good pitcher, but has too many 4-6 walk outings for the Red Sox. They need Matsuzaka to have better command or he will be a 100 million dollar bust very soon. Buchholz is the same way. If he walks too many hitters, he gets into trouble fast. Boston does have veteran Tim Wakefield around in case either Buchholz or Matsuzaka struggle or an injury occurs. When Wakefield’s knuckleball is on it’s unhittable. That’s all he has at his disposal.
Papelbon will be looking to resurrect what happened to finish last year. Blowing a save in the postseason is something he isn’t accustomed to. He is still a premiere closer and will be the best in the American League once Mariano Rivera retires. Boston did make the right decision with him being a closer and not a starter. No one has the kind of concentration that he does when the game is close. Nearly unhittable in the ninth inning. To setup Papelbon will be Okajima and Manny Delcarmen. Okajima is the crafty lefty who works the strike zone throwing at the corners and trying to get batters to chase. Delcarmen will try to overpower you and occasionally brush the batter back to get in his head. Francona might have some nervous moments trying to get to Papelbon this season. This is the worst pitching staff on paper for Boston since Francona took over in ’04.
2B Brian Roberts
.283 AVG 16 HR 79 RBI
CF Adam Jones
.277 AVG 19 HR 70 RBI
3B Miguel Tejada*
.313 AVG 14 HR 86 RBI
RF Nick Markakis
.293 AVG 18 HR 101 RBI
LF Nolan Reimold
.279 AVG 15 HR 45 RBI
DH Luke Scott
.258 AVG 25 HR 77 RBI
C Matt Wieters
.288 AVG 9 HR 43 RBI
1B Ty Wigginton
.273 AVG 11 HR 41 RBI
SS Cesar Izturis
.256 AVG 2 HR 30 RBI
It seems that the Orioles have finally figured it out. Build from within and make small moves in free agency and not go after the big name. They just have the unfortunate luck of being in the AL East. Roberts has been the lone bright spot for a long time in Baltimore. He’s beginning to show signs of decline, but he is the leader of this team and it shows when they are winning games. His teammates seem to play better when he is playing great baseball. Jones was an All-Star last year, but began to fade after the break. Easily can have a 30-30 season for the Orioles, Jones is also a fantastic defender. He will have more All-Star appearances before he decides to hang up his glove. Tejada was brought back on a one year deal and he is going to be playing the hot corner. He has been avoiding it for a long time, but in order to find a job he had to face fact that he can no longer play shortstop like he once did. He is still capable of hitting which is why the Orioles signed him in the first place. Markakis is a fantastic player. One of the best young hitters in the game today. It’s a shame not many know about him, but he is one of a kind. Excellent range and arm for right field. His knack for hitting the baseball is rare. Not a big power threat, but his 45 doubles tell you what kind of a hitter he is and will always be. Reimold having a good showing last year has reassured the organization that they have the best young outfield trio in the game today. Reimold is a capable fielder in left and has 30+ HR potential in a full season with the Orioles. His average will come around, but for now he is here to stay. Scott is the full time DH who has always been an underrated player. Baltimore was happy to receive him in the Tejada trade with Houston in ’08. Scott has hit 48 HRs in his two seasons in Baltimore. Wieters could be the next Joe Mauer, but for now he just needs to be Matt Wieters. The Orioles have long been looking for a reliable catcher and they have it in Wieters. His production was encouraging in only 96 games last year. Imagine what it will be in 120-145 this year. He will be the eventual cleanup hitter, but for now he needs to come into his own as a hitter. Wigginton is a good fit for this team. A veteran who can fill in at third, first and left field. Not the ideal power threat you want from a first baseman, but he is the best defender for the position. Izturis is still playing baseball mainly because he still has gold glove defense at shortstop. Strictly a contact hitter, Izturis doesn’t offer much since the Orioles are stuck with their next prospect a year or two away from making an impact in the majors. Manager Dave Trembley is doing a great job with this young group. How much longer will he be given to get them over the hump is still to be determined.
Bench
INF Garrett Atkins*
.226 AVG 9 HR 48 RBI
OF Felix Pie
.266 AVG 9 HR 29 RBI
INF Julio Lugo*
.280 AVG 3 HR 21 RBI
Atkins was a great addition. A backup to Tejada and a platoon option at first with Wigginton. Doesn’t offer much with his glove, but he has a great bat. Perhaps his best days are behind him in Colorado, but the Orioles would like to have one more year from him going forward. Pie is the fourth outfielder and a great pinch running option for Trembley. Decent pop for Pie, but he is better served to hit to the massive gaps at Camden Yards. Lugo was acquired just before the end of Spring Training to provide infield depth behind Izturis and Roberts. Should Izturis struggle more than usual at the plate, Lugo can step in and provide the bat. The Orioles shouldn’t miss a beat with Lugo’s glove at short should that happen.
Rotation
Kevin Millwood*
13-10 3.67 ERA
Jeremy Guthrie
10-17 5.04 ERA
Brad Bergesen
7-5 3.43 ERA
Brian Matusz
5-2 4.63 ERA
David Hernandez
4-10 5.42 ERA
Setup
Jim Johnson
10 SV 4.11 ERA
Closer
Michael Gonzalez*
10 SV 2.42 ERA
The Orioles struggled mightily in the starting pitching last year. They hope to have solved that this year with the acquisition of Millwood from Texas. He pitched very well at their hitter friendly ballpark and the Orioles hope to see the same from Millwood at their hitter friendly ballpark. Not expected to go the distance in every start or strikeout a ton of batters he will be counted on to help with the young starters the Orioles have on the staff this year. Guthrie should have less to deal with this year. He was the ace by default last year and it showed with his 17 losses and ERA over 5.00. Not to mention allowing 224 hits in 200 innings pitched. He is a good pitcher, but can’t be a top two starter on most teams. Bergesen was excellent in his 19 starts last season. The young righthander was a breathe of fresh air and marked the beginning of the call ups of the Orioles young arms throughout the ’09 season. Matusz was next in late August. This is his rookie season and with 8 starts under his belt last year he struckout 38 batters in 44 2/3 innings pitched. How many will he get in say 180 innings? The potential is certainly there for over 180 strikeouts. Hernandez will be given the opportunity to be the fifth starter over Chris Tillman. Both struggled to keep hitters from crushing their pitches, but Hernandez has the better stuff by a slight margin. Tillman will get his chance should there be an injury, but he’s still a young guy (22) and he will get many more chances before he knows it.
Baltimore hopes to have a closer that will not have over 10 blown saves as in years past. Gonzalez saved 10 games for the Braves last year, but wasn’t the full time closer. He does have experience throughout his career, but can he be counted on to get 30+ saves? He hasn’t accomplished that in his career so far, but the Orioles do have faith in him and they do have a backup plan in Johnson who also saved 10 games for the Orioles last year. Johnson also isn’t the prototypical closer either. He is better served setting up Gonzalez so that there will be no hiccups in the eighth and ninth innings. Trembley has the backing of management, but with expectations slowly rising in Baltimore, will they make a move to bring in someone to better handle those expectations?
LF Jose Bautista
.235 AVG 13 HR 40 RBI
2B Aaron Hill
.286 AVG 36 HR 108 RBI
RF Adam Lind
.305 AVG 35 HR 114 RBI
CF Vernon Wells
.260 AVG 15 HR 66 RBI
DH Randy Ruiz
.313 AVG 10 HR 17 RBI
3B Edwin Encarnacion
.225 AVG 13 HR 39 RBI
C John Buck*
.247 AVG 8 HR 36 RBI
SS Alex Gonzalez*
.238 AVG 8 HR 41 RBI
Toronto is the new cellar dweller of the AL East. It was bound to happen. They weren’t going to be able to keep Roy Halladay after this year and they can’t bring any high priced free agents here after what they did bringing in A.J. Burnett and B.J. Ryan back in ’06. The new administration is starting from scratch and is looking to build the farm system up and start with fresh talent later this year and next. Bautista isn’t at all suited to be the leadoff hitter, but what choice do they have? He has decent power, but the average is not suitable for the spot in the order. Look for a prospect to man the spot sooner rather than later this year. Hill’s numbers will probably go down as a result of the lack of talent around him, but he will still be considered for another All-Star appearance. Not many second baseman can hit 36 HR and drive in over 100 runs in a season. A one of a kind find for the Blue Jays who if their smart will keep him around for a while. Lind should have been an All-Star as well. Being the DH most of the season hurt his chances, but that shouldn’t be the case this year as he will playing the field more. Wells has slowly declined since he got the 100 million dollar extension. It’s a puzzling situation where no one thought Wells would decline as soon as he got paid. He is still a gold glove center fielder, but even that part of his game was in decline. The Blue Jays need Wells to be a part of the rebuilding process and not have to worry about moving him and his contract during the process. Ruiz put up great numbers in just 33 games in Toronto. In 114 games at AAA Las Vegas his AVG was .320 with 25 HR and 106 RBI. The Blue Jays have found their future cleanup hitter. Encarnacion is the heir apparent for Scott Rolen last year when they dealt for him. It was amazing to see his numbers actually improve in Toronto rather the opposite playing at Great American Ballpark (.240 AVG 8 HR 23 RBI in Toronto). His defense is still suspect for the hot corner though. Buck is not a hitting catcher. The potential was there, but he is best being the defensive option for most teams. Gonzalez is mainly a defensive guy, but does have decent power in his bat. Toronto will miss not having Scutaro at the bottom of their order or even being their leadoff hitter had they kept him. Manager Cito Gaston will have a lot of different lineups while he’s manager this year.
Bench
OF Travis Snider
.241 AVG 9 HR 29 RBI
INF John McDonald
.258 AVG 4 HR 13 RBI
C Jose Molina*
.217 AVG 1 HR 11 RBI
Snider will give Lind a day off or when he is the DH. Snider is a decent hitter, but is streaky. He is agile enough to play center field as well, but will mostly play the corner outfield positions. McDonald is a great defensive player. Not much life to his bat, but he is a professional. He will probably see a lot of time at third base since Gonzalez and Hill are pretty solid defensively. Molina has great experience handling young pitching staffs. He works well with everyone and knows the situation at all times. His bat is below average, but he’s still around because of his glove and arm.
Rotation
Shaun Marcum
9-7 3.39 ERA (2008 stats)
Ricky Romero
13-9 4.30 ERA
Brandon Morrow*
2-4 4.39 ERA
Brian Tallet
7-9 5.32 ERA
Dana Eveland*
2-4 7.16 ERA
Setup
Kevin Gregg*
23 SV 4.72 ERA
Closer
Jason Frasor
11 SV 2.50 ERA
You can see what happens to a team that has traded its staff ace. They now are turning to a starter who missed all of last year due to Tommy John surgery. Marcum had a great ’08 season and won 12 games in ’07 as a starter and reliever. It seems to be too much pressure for a guy who was recovering last year and now is being expected to lead a staff without Halladay. He is capable, but it isn’t probable. Romero was definitely the second starter last year. His 141 strikeouts were encouraging, but giving up 192 hits in 178 innings was not. Romero will have to work on that and try to get his ERA under 3.50 to be the elite starter that Toronto expects. Morrow is a hard throwing righthander that was acquired from Seattle in the offseason. Mostly used as a reliever in Seattle he now gets his chance to be a starter in Toronto. He will have to improve on his control as the Blue Jays don’t have enough offensive punch to keep them in ball games this year. Tallet is not an overpowering lefthander, but knows how to work the strike zone. He started 25 of his 37 games last year and will be given the opportunity to be a starter this season. Eveland was acquired from Oakland just before Spring Training and is the favorite to win the fifth spot. In his one season as a full time starter Eveland posted a 9-9 record with an ERA of 4.34. Should anyone not fulfill their duty as a starter, the Blue Jays have other viable options; Casey Janssen, Brett Cecil, Dustin McGowan and Marc Rzepczynski.
Frasor will be the closer this season for Toronto. He’s had pretty good success saving 32 games in 44 chances with the Blue Jays. Between him and Gregg Toronto is more comfortable with someone they know can win a game for them. Gregg’s ERA was far too high for someone saving 23 games. Lefthander Scott Downs saved 9 games for the Blue Jays last year and is capable of handling the job. Downs and Gregg though will start the year as the setup to Frasor. Manager Cito Gaston hopes this part of the team is set and won’t have to worry about making any changes to it this year.




